Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 23/09, 08:30

Prediction: Gaia Maduzzi vs Raluca Georgiana Serban

Team pages: Gaia Maduzzi · Raluca Georgiana Serban

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Gaia Maduzzi Raluca Georgiana Serban
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gaia Maduzzi 9-1 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
Raluca Georgiana Serban 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gaia Maduzzi 1612 · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1433
Gaia MaduzziRaluca Georgiana Serban
Our model74%26%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1612 vs 1433).
  • Gaia Maduzzi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Gaia Maduzzi makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Gaia MaduzziRaluca Georgiana Serban
Win %80%20%
Win % · Clay 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.70.6-1.7
Games (G-P)12.2-10.39.8-12.9
Aces2.21.1
Double faults47.4
1st serve %60.8%61%
Break %56.4%50.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gaia Maduzzi

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Amelia Paszun
W50 Plovdiv
2-1 15-15 W
20/09 Lorena Schaedel
W50 Plovdiv
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Elizara Yaneva
W50 Pazardzhik
1-2 10-18 L
15/09 Amelia Paszun
W50 Pazardzhik
2-1 17-12 W
14/09 Nina Radovanovic
W50 Pazardzhik
2-1 13-13 W
13/09 Ralitsa Alexandrova
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 13-8 W
28/08 Denisa Zoldakova
W75 Bytom
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Elena Malygina
W75 Bytom
2-0 13-8 W
26/08 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Amelia Paszun
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-3 W

Raluca Georgiana Serban

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Lea Boskovic
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
1-2 15-19 L
08/09 Francesca Jones
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/08 Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Prague
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
14/07 Daria Kuczer
W75 Olomouc
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 The Hague
0-2 6-11 L
25/06 Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
23/06 Victoria Bosio
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/06 Mayar Sherif
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gaia Maduzzi vs Raluca Georgiana Serban?

Our model gives 63% to Gaia Maduzzi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.