Tennis · WTA Ankara · 22/09, 13:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Team pages: Marie Vogt · Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
8-2 (W-L)
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1549 · Elena Ruxandra Bertea 1495
| Marie Vogt | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Vogt (rating 1549 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.8 | 8.9-8 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Polina Skliar W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Demi Tran W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Maja Michna W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Margaux Maquet W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Martina Trevisan W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea?
Our model gives 50% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.