Prediction: Kira Pavlova vs Lucia Cortez Llorca
Team pages: Kira Pavlova · Lucia Cortez Llorca
Prediction summary
Winner
Kira Pavlova
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Pavlova
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kira Pavlova
1–0
Lucia Cortez Llorca
(1 last)
- 21 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kira Pavlova 1566 · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1564
| Kira Pavlova | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kira Pavlova 1–0 Lucia Cortez Llorca (1).
- Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Kira Pavlova | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9 | 12.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Kira Pavlova 1 – 0 Lucia Cortez Llorca (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kira Pavlova 1–0 Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/23 ITF W25 Ceuta | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Britt Du Pree W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Francisca Jorge W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kira Pavlova vs Lucia Cortez Llorca?
Our model gives 62% to Kira Pavlova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.