Tennis · W50 Yecla · 23/09, 10:00

Prediction: Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko

Team pages: Kateryna Lazarenko

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Isabel Adrover Gallego Kateryna Lazarenko
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Isabel Adrover Gallego 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLWW
Kateryna Lazarenko 9-1 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isabel Adrover Gallego 1528 · Kateryna Lazarenko 1612
Isabel Adrover GallegoKateryna Lazarenko
Our model38%62%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1528 vs 1612).
  • Kateryna Lazarenko is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Isabel Adrover GallegoKateryna Lazarenko
Win %50%90%
Win % · Hard 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.8-0.4
Games (G-P)10.9-1212.2-8.8
Aces1.41.8
Double faults2.63.4
1st serve %53.7%61.6%
Break %37.3%51.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isabel Adrover Gallego

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/05 Ana Carmen Zamburek
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
30/05 Kate Gardiner
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
29/05 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/05 Tia Bonita Jakupovic-Kljako
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/05 Nikoline Gullacksen
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/04 Didi Bredberg Canizares
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
14/04 Margaux Maquet
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/02 Charlotte Narti
W15 Palm Coast
0-2 8-12 L
15/01 Catherine Rennard
UTR Pro Stillwater Women · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
14/01 Alyson Shannon
UTR Pro Stillwater Women · Hard
1-2 13-14 L

Kateryna Lazarenko

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Alexandra Vagramov
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-7 W
20/09 Nuria Sarganella Verdu
W50 Yecla
2-0 14-11 W
06/09 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-1 16-15 W
05/09 Julia Adams
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 12-4 W
04/09 Mia Chudejova
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 13-10 W
03/09 Maja Wrobel
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Kate Sharabura
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-1 15-12 W
16/07 Katarina Kuzmova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 3-7 L
15/07 Anastasiya Kuparev
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Aliesia Reva
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isabel Adrover Gallego vs Kateryna Lazarenko?

Our model gives 68% to Kateryna Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.