Prediction: Lucas Renard vs Alex Kobelt
Team pages: Alex Kobelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Renard
Alex Kobelt
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Renard
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Kobelt
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Renard 1523 · Alex Kobelt 1463
| Lucas Renard | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Renard (rating 1523 vs 1463).
- Note: Lucas Renard makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Alex Kobelt makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Renard | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.2 | 8.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 71% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Renard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | John Gabelic M25 Falun |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Dominik Matic M25 Falun |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Jan Kupcic M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Matteo Mura M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Leo Borg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuel Rovai M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kristian Tumbas Kajgo M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Filippo Alberti M15 Manacor |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Carlos Diaz Ruiz M15 Manacor |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Falun |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alex Kobelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Linus Andersson M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Maximus Muller M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Romeo Nobili M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Michael Wright M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 03/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Renard vs Alex Kobelt?
Our model gives 54% to Lucas Renard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.