Prediction: Lucas Renard vs Thijs Boogaard
Team pages: Lucas Renard · Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Renard
Thijs Boogaard
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Renard
6-4 (W-L)
Thijs Boogaard
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Renard 1550 · Thijs Boogaard 1519
| Lucas Renard | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucas Renard makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Renard | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.1 | 11.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Renard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alex Kobelt M25 Falun |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | John Gabelic M25 Falun |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Dominik Matic M25 Falun |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Jan Kupcic M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Matteo Mura M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Leo Borg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuel Rovai M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kristian Tumbas Kajgo M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Filippo Alberti M15 Manacor |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Carlos Diaz Ruiz M15 Manacor |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Love Nyqvist M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Renard vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model gives 71% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.