Tennis · M15 Monastir · 23/09, 10:30
Prediction: Jacopo Bilardo vs Mae Malige
Team pages: Jacopo Bilardo · Mae Malige
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacopo Bilardo
Mae Malige
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jacopo Bilardo
5-5 (W-L)
Mae Malige
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacopo Bilardo 1513 · Mae Malige 1433
| Jacopo Bilardo | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacopo Bilardo (rating 1513 vs 1433).
- Jacopo Bilardo is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Jacopo Bilardo makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Jacopo Bilardo | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.3 | 8.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacopo Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Enrico Baldisserri M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Arad |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Arad |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Romain Andres M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Reyniak M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacopo Bilardo vs Mae Malige?
Our model gives 53% to Mae Malige, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.