Tennis · M15 Monastir · 23/09, 10:30
Prediction: Toby Martin vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Toby Martin · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Toby Martin
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Toby Martin
6-4 (W-L)
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Martin 1513 · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1502
| Toby Martin | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Toby Martin | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 9.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toby Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefan Seifert M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Loic Namigandet Tenguere M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Finn Hopfe M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Scott Ekindi M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alexis Canter M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Pedro Petroski Rocha M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enzo Helguera Casado M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toby Martin vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 59% to Toby Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.