Tennis · WTA Ankara · 21/09, 18:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Ayla Aksu
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Ayla Aksu
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
5-5 (W-L)
Ayla Aksu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1444 · Ayla Aksu 1448
| Yuki Naito | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (10.7/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.2 | 9.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 10.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Ayla Aksu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Ayla Aksu?
Our model gives 56% to Ayla Aksu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

