Tennis · WTA Ankara · 21/09, 18:00

Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Ayla Aksu

Team pages: Yuki Naito · Ayla Aksu

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Yuki Naito Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLLL
Ayla Aksu 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1444 · Ayla Aksu 1448
Yuki NaitoAyla Aksu
Our model49%51%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (10.7/match).

Statistics

Yuki NaitoAyla Aksu
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.70.8-1.5
Games (G-P)11.2-13.29.6-12.3
Aces2.71.9
Double faults10.73.9
1st serve %62.7%58.1%
Break %51.9%57.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuki Naito

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang
0-2 4-12 L
01/09 Darya Astakhova
W75 Tianjin
0-2 7-13 L
24/07 Renata Zarazua
W100 Evansville
0-2 5-10 L
23/07 Fiona Crawley
W100 Evansville
2-1 18-12 W
23/07 Madison Brengle
W100 Evansville
2-1 18-14 W
21/07 BoYoung Jeong
W100 Evansville
2-1 16-11 W
15/07 Sara Saito
W75 Granby
1-2 10-13 L
08/07 Audrey Spencer
W50 Columbus
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Lucrezia Stefanini
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
25/06 Aishi Das
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L

Ayla Aksu

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Elena Malygina
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
24/08 Lucrezia Stefanini
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Alana Smith
W35 Aldershot
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W35 Aldershot
2-1 15-14 W
22/07 Daria Snigur
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
19/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
18/07 Viktoria Morvayova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 5-13 L
27/06 Elena Micic
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-1 8-9 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Ayla Aksu?

Our model gives 56% to Ayla Aksu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.