Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 21/09, 21:30
Prediction: Andrew Fenty vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Andrew Fenty · Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Fenty
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Fenty
6-4 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Fenty 1527 · Erik Arutiunian 1538
| Andrew Fenty | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 70.5% break avg.
- Note: Andrew Fenty makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Andrew Fenty | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.5 | 10.3-10 |
| Aces | 5 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 73% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 70.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Fenty
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Evan King Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Eli Dieveney Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Fenty vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 51% to Erik Arutiunian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.