Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 21/09, 20:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Alex Rybakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Alex Rybakov
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Rybakov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1534 · Alex Rybakov 1519
| Ozan Baris | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 11.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 75% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Karue Sell Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Dan Martin Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Billy Blaydes M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Matthew Summers M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Aldershot |
1-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov?
Our model gives 59% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.