Tennis · M25 Falun · 22/09, 10:00

Prediction: Wojciech Marek vs Aleksandr Braynin

Team pages: Wojciech Marek · Aleksandr Braynin

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Wojciech Marek Aleksandr Braynin
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Wojciech Marek 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWLW
Aleksandr Braynin 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wojciech Marek 1530 · Aleksandr Braynin 1441
Wojciech MarekAleksandr Braynin
Our model63%37%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wojciech Marek (rating 1530 vs 1441).
  • Wojciech Marek is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Wojciech MarekAleksandr Braynin
Win %60%20%
Win % · Clay 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.8-1.6
Games (G-P)11.4-11.210-13.2
Aces4.34.5
Double faults2.73.6
1st serve %66.6%67%
Break %34.1%38.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wojciech Marek

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Jonas Gundacker
M15 Szczawno
2-1 19-18 W
25/08 Michael Savano
M25 Poznan
0-2 3-12 L
21/08 Michael Agwi
M15 Krakow
1-2 12-17 L
20/08 Karol Filar
M15 Krakow
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Brian Bozemoj
M15 Krakow
2-0 13-9 W
18/08 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Krakow
2-0 12-6 W
07/08 Vladyslav Orlov
M15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 8-12 L
05/08 Juliusz Bienkiewicz
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 16-14 W
04/08 Petr Michnev
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Daniel Michalski
M25 Koszalin
0-2 6-12 L

Aleksandr Braynin

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Radu Albot
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
01/09 Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Meerbusch
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Heorhii Shylov
M15 Vienna
1-2 12-14 L
26/08 Paul Schmid
M15 Vienna
2-0 13-10 W
16/08 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
02/08 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
27/07 Khumoyun Sultanov
Challenger Liberec · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
26/07 Nitin Kumar Sinha
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
21/07 Alexander Wagner
M25 Ollersbach
1-2 15-19 L
09/07 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wojciech Marek vs Aleksandr Braynin?

Our model gives 58% to Wojciech Marek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.