Tennis · WTA Ankara · 21/09, 11:30
Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Alana Smith
Team pages: Weronika Falkowska · Alana Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Weronika Falkowska
Alana Smith
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Weronika Falkowska
5-5 (W-L)
Alana Smith
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Falkowska 1491 · Alana Smith 1551
| Weronika Falkowska | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alana Smith (rating 1491 vs 1551).
- Alana Smith is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Weronika Falkowska makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.6 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-14.2 | 11-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 43% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kristina Novak WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/08 | Amelia Paszun WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Duru Arslan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Katarina Kujovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Ayla Aksu W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Daria Gorska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Lea Ma WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Alana Smith?
Our model gives 54% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.