Tennis · W50 Yecla · 21/09, 09:00

Prediction: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Lucia Llinares Domingo

Team pages: Carmen Gallardo Guevara · Lucia Llinares Domingo

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Carmen Gallardo Guevara Lucia Llinares Domingo
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Gallardo Guevara 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLW
Lucia Llinares Domingo 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1563 · Lucia Llinares Domingo 1457
Carmen Gallardo GuevaraLucia Llinares Domingo
Our model65%35%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carmen Gallardo Guevara (rating 1563 vs 1457).
  • Carmen Gallardo Guevara is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Lucia Llinares Domingo makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Carmen Gallardo GuevaraLucia Llinares Domingo
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.9-1.5
Games (G-P)10.4-9.211.2-11.9
Aces0.51.6
Double faults34.9
1st serve %58.6%58.7%
Break %48.2%50.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carmen Gallardo Guevara

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Isabel Pascual Montalvo
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Greet Minnen
W75 Ourense
0-2 2-12 L
05/08 Lucia Cortez Llorca
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Francesca Curmi
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Matilde Jorge
W100 Gran Canaria
1-1 15-14 W
26/07 Kristina Novak
W15 Gran Canaria
2-1 17-12 W
25/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Lucia Natal
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Carlotta Moccia
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Kira Pavlova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 5-12 L

Lucia Llinares Domingo

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Berta Bonardi
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Yuliya Hatouka
W15 Logrono
0-2 9-13 L
03/08 Darya Velikova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Aurora Corvi
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/07 Doroteja Petrovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Zoe Ulrich
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
08/07 Aya El Sayed
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/06 Lucia Ros Parres
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
22/06 Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L
21/06 Maria De La Paz Alberto
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 19-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Lucia Llinares Domingo?

Our model gives 72% to Carmen Gallardo Guevara, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.