Tennis · WTA Ankara · 21/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Ekaterina Yashina
Team pages: Marie Vogt · Ekaterina Yashina
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Ekaterina Yashina
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Ekaterina Yashina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1531 · Ekaterina Yashina 1472
| Marie Vogt | Ekaterina Yashina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Vogt (rating 1531 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Ekaterina Yashina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.4 | 8.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Polina Skliar W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Demi Tran W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Maja Michna W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Ekaterina Yashina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Semra Aksu WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Raphaelle Lacasse W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Teresa Franco Dias W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Ekaterina Yashina?
Our model gives 68% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.