Tennis · WTA Ankara · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Aliona Falei vs Fangran Tian
Team pages: Aliona Falei · Fangran Tian
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliona Falei
Fangran Tian
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aliona Falei
6-4 (W-L)
Fangran Tian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliona Falei 1496 · Fangran Tian 1481
| Aliona Falei | Fangran Tian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aliona Falei | Fangran Tian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 11.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliona Falei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Urszula Radwanska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kristina Penickova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Fangran Tian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Han Shi W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Zongyu Li W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Mayu Crossley W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Kylie Collins W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Viola Turini W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliona Falei vs Fangran Tian?
Our model gives 57% to Aliona Falei, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.