Tennis · WTA Ankara · 22/09, 10:00

Prediction: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek

Team pages: Solana Sierra · Deniz Dilek

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Solana Sierra Deniz Dilek
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Solana Sierra 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLWL
Deniz Dilek 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Solana Sierra 1439 · Deniz Dilek 1527
Solana SierraDeniz Dilek
Our model38%62%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deniz Dilek (rating 1439 vs 1527).
  • Deniz Dilek is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (7.8/match).
  • Note: Deniz Dilek makes many double faults (6.5/match).

Statistics

Solana SierraDeniz Dilek
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.71.6-0.7
Games (G-P)10.6-13.911.5-8.7
Aces1.94.1
Double faults7.86.5
1st serve %58.6%67.6%
Break %34.4%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Solana Sierra

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Suzan Lamens
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Cadence Brace
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
31/08 Elina Svitolina
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/08 Aoi Ito
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
04/08 Sloane Stephens
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Memphis · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
01/07 Coco Gauff
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-16 L
29/06 Anna Bondar
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 18-15 W
22/06 Qinwen Zheng
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
21/06 Anna Blinkova
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-1 16-15 W

Deniz Dilek

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Weronika Falkowska
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
09/07 Han Shi
W50 Corroios-Seixal
1-2 10-16 L
08/07 Valeria Savinykh
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-7 W
06/07 Clara Vlasselaer
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 14-9 W
05/07 Aaddi Gupta
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Alana Subasic
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Minel Naz Kaynak
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Daria Lokotkova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
07/06 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/06 Alana Subasic
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek?

Our model gives 61% to Solana Sierra, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.