Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 21/09, 20:00
Prediction: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Nishesh Basavareddy · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Nishesh Basavareddy
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nishesh Basavareddy
6-4 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nishesh Basavareddy 1515 · Mees Rottgering 1556
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1515 vs 1556).
- Note: Nishesh Basavareddy makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.2 | 11.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Luka Mikrut US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Moise Kouame US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Alex Michelsen French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 24/05 | Taylor Fritz French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 26-20 | W |
| 19/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Machac ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Hunter Heck ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 55% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.