Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 21/09, 20:00
Prediction: Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl
Team pages: Jack Kennedy · Liam Draxl
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Kennedy
Liam Draxl
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Kennedy
4-6 (W-L)
Liam Draxl
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Kennedy 1478 · Liam Draxl 1522
| Jack Kennedy | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Draxl (rating 1478 vs 1522).
- Liam Draxl dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 46.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Jack Kennedy | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.6 | 12.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Keaton Hance M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 21/05 | David Naharro M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Ilias Zimmermann M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Arthur Rinderknech Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Mejia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl?
Our model gives 64% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.