Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 20/09, 21:30
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1522 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1537
| Ozan Baris | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 11.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Pawit Sornlaksup Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 52% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.