Prediction: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Paula Cembranos
Team pages: Esther Lopez Alcaraz · Paula Cembranos
Prediction summary
Winner
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
Paula Cembranos
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
6-4 (W-L)
Paula Cembranos
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esther Lopez Alcaraz 1493 · Paula Cembranos 1527
| Esther Lopez Alcaraz | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (8.9/match).
Statistics
| Esther Lopez Alcaraz | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.6 | 12.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 8.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Maria Berlanga Bandera W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Maria Toma W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Madhurima Sawant W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Raquel Caballero Chica W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Elizaveta Rozhkova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jordina Font W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Paula Cembranos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Seda Baslilar W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Charlotte Maurey W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Evora |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Evora |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Jenna Defalco W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Iveta Dapkute W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Paula Cembranos?
Our model gives 64% to Paula Cembranos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.