Prediction: Nuria Sarganella Verdu vs Kateryna Lazarenko
Team pages: Nuria Sarganella Verdu · Kateryna Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuria Sarganella Verdu
Kateryna Lazarenko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nuria Sarganella Verdu
3-7 (W-L)
Kateryna Lazarenko
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuria Sarganella Verdu 1465 · Kateryna Lazarenko 1591
| Nuria Sarganella Verdu | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1465 vs 1591).
- Kateryna Lazarenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nuria Sarganella Verdu | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-10.1 | 11.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 50.9% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuria Sarganella Verdu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 17/06 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Valentina Abril Bruno W15 Madrid |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 03/06 | Elena Molla Pons W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Anastasia Lizunova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Julia Adams W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Mia Chudejova W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Maja Wrobel W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Kate Sharabura W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasiya Kuparev W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Aliesia Reva W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Cayetana Gay W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuria Sarganella Verdu vs Kateryna Lazarenko?
Our model gives 75% to Kateryna Lazarenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.