Tennis · W50 Yecla · 20/09, 11:30

Prediction: Elizabeth Jurna vs Sofia Camila Rojas

Team pages: Elizabeth Jurna · Sofia Camila Rojas

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Prediction summary
Winner
22% 78%
Elizabeth Jurna Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Elizabeth Jurna 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLLL
Sofia Camila Rojas 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elizabeth Jurna 1440 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1569
Elizabeth JurnaSofia Camila Rojas
Our model32%68%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1440 vs 1569).
  • Sofia Camila Rojas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Elizabeth Jurna makes many double faults (6.6/match).

Statistics

Elizabeth JurnaSofia Camila Rojas
Win %30%80%
Win % · Hard 20% (5) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.6-0.6
Games (G-P)8.7-1110.9-6.8
Aces3.31.6
Double faults6.61.2
1st serve %65.2%66.8%
Break %48.6%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elizabeth Jurna

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 9-13 L
28/06 Caterina Odorizzi
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/06 Sabine Rutlauka
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Ainara Fernandez Sanchez
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/06 Laima Vladson
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
31/05 Kristina Novak
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
20/05 Ariana Arseneault
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
19/05 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-1 12-10 W
29/04 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Madrid
0-2 7-12 L
28/04 Analu Freitas
W15 Madrid
2-0 12-2 W

Sofia Camila Rojas

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
05/09 Elyse Tse
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
04/09 Marie Villet
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-7 W
03/09 Alexandra Vagramov
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W
02/09 Francesca Dell'edera
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Riko Kikawada
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/08 Alexandra Vagramov
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/08 Aurora Nosei
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/08 Zala Bizjak
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
26/08 Ada Gergec
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elizabeth Jurna vs Sofia Camila Rojas?

Our model gives 78% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.