Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 20/09, 14:30

Prediction: Mayuka Aikawa vs Anna Kmiecik

Team pages: Mayuka Aikawa · Anna Kmiecik

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Mayuka Aikawa Anna Kmiecik
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mayuka Aikawa 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWL
Anna Kmiecik 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mayuka Aikawa 1520 · Anna Kmiecik 1501
Mayuka AikawaAnna Kmiecik
Our model53%47%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mayuka AikawaAnna Kmiecik
Win %60%50%
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.1-9.69.2-10.3
Aces1.80.2
Double faults2.62.5
1st serve %62%54.9%
Break %56.3%48.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mayuka Aikawa

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Anja Stankovic
W50 Pazardzhik
0-2 11-14 L
13/09 Defne Cirpanli
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Oceane Babel
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 7-13 L
31/08 Gyeong Seo Lee
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-1 15-15 W
25/08 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W50 Oldenzaal
1-2 11-18 L
24/08 Mirjana Jovanovic
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Xinyu Gao
W50 Prague
0-2 0-12 L
18/08 Barbora Michalkova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
17/08 Laetitia Pulchartova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
16/08 Mia Chudejova
W50 Prague
2-0 9-4 W

Anna Kmiecik

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/09 Julia Adams
W15 Radom
0-2 7-12 L
11/09 Enola Chiesa
W15 Radom
2-1 12-10 W
10/09 Maileen Nuudi
W15 Radom
2-0 12-7 W
27/08 Katarina Zavatska
W75 Bytom
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Sonja Zhenikhova
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Dalila Jakupovic
W35 Krakow
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Viola Turini
W35 Krakow
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Gina Marie Dittmann
W35 Krakow
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Amy Sucha
W35 Bydgoszcz
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Marcelina Podlinska
W15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 11-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mayuka Aikawa vs Anna Kmiecik?

Our model gives 54% to Mayuka Aikawa.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.