Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Maria Andrienko vs Merel Hoedt

Team pages: Maria Andrienko · Merel Hoedt

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Maria Andrienko Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Andrienko 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLLL
Merel Hoedt 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Andrienko 1540 · Merel Hoedt 1537
Maria AndrienkoMerel Hoedt
Our model50%50%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maria AndrienkoMerel Hoedt
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.8-9.310.8-8.4
Aces0.20.9
Double faults3.43.9
1st serve %60.1%55.1%
Break %56%48%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Andrienko

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W50 Pazardzhik
0-2 8-13 L
02/09 Alja Senica
W15 Pecs
1-1 9-10 L
26/08 Federica Sacco
W35 Trieste
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Carolina Dibenedetto
W35 Trieste
2-1 16-11 W
23/08 Lisa Claeys
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-5 W
22/08 Romane Longueville
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-9 W
21/08 Margaux Maquet
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 8-4 W
20/08 Sevil Yuldasheva
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 12-8 W
19/08 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 14-11 W
18/08 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-1 9-10 W

Merel Hoedt

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Iva Ivanova
W50 Pazardzhik
1-2 15-16 L
14/09 Margaux Maquet
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 12-3 W
13/09 Barbora Michalkova
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 12-3 W
10/09 Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
09/09 Ashley Lahey
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W
07/09 Isabelle Cherny
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Vivian Wolff
W50 Prague
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Anika Jaskova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Karolina Vlckova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
1-2 13-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Andrienko vs Merel Hoedt?

Our model gives 60% to Merel Hoedt, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.