Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 20/09, 11:30
Prediction: Beatris Spasova vs Lucie Petruzelova
Team pages: Beatris Spasova · Lucie Petruzelova
Prediction summary
Winner
Beatris Spasova
Lucie Petruzelova
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Beatris Spasova
3-7 (W-L)
Lucie Petruzelova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beatris Spasova 1479 · Lucie Petruzelova 1566
| Beatris Spasova | Lucie Petruzelova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Petruzelova (rating 1479 vs 1566).
- Lucie Petruzelova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Beatris Spasova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Lucie Petruzelova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Beatris Spasova | Lucie Petruzelova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.3 | 12.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beatris Spasova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Zuzana Kudlackova W50 Horb |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Lily Hutchings W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Galena Krastenova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Helena Muzinic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/05 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Nika Bumbak W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/04 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Veronika Udina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lucie Petruzelova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Julia Adams W15 Radom |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Amy Sucha W15 Radom |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Radom |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Barbora Michalkova W15 Radom |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Katerina Mandelikova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beatris Spasova vs Lucie Petruzelova?
Our model gives 77% to Lucie Petruzelova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.