Tennis · WTA Ankara · 20/09, 11:30

Prediction: Giulia Alessia Monteleone vs Melisa Ercan

Team pages: Giulia Alessia Monteleone · Melisa Ercan

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Prediction summary
Winner
17% 83%
Giulia Alessia Monteleone Melisa Ercan
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Giulia Alessia Monteleone 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLLL
Melisa Ercan 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulia Alessia Monteleone 1388 · Melisa Ercan 1520
Giulia Alessia MonteleoneMelisa Ercan
Our model32%68%
Market5%95%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melisa Ercan (rating 1388 vs 1520).
  • Melisa Ercan is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Giulia Alessia MonteleoneMelisa Ercan
Win %0%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (4) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.2-21.3-0.9
Games (G-P)4.6-12.810-9.3
Aces0.31
Double faults2.93.5
1st serve %43.2%62.1%
Break %40.9%49.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulia Alessia Monteleone

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Jennifer Rosa Dourado
W35 Barueri
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Nathalia Pontes Tourinho
W15 Campos do Jordao
1-2 8-16 L
09/08 Mia Wainwright
W35 Aldershot
0-2 3-12 L
26/07 Laura Cilekova
W50 Dublin
1-2 11-16 L
13/07 Katja Wiersholm
W50 Nottingham
0-2 2-12 L
30/06 Franziska Sziedat
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Jana Hossam Salah
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
09/06 Angelina Wirges
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Micol Salvadori
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
26/05 Natalia Sousa Salazar
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Melisa Ercan

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Yufei Ren
W35 Vigo
0-2 5-13 L
12/08 Madhurima Sawant
W35 Vigo
2-0 13-7 W
16/07 Maria Golovina
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 11-13 L
15/07 Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Viktoria Hruncakova
W35 Don Benito
0-2 3-12 L
10/07 Ela Plosnik
W35 Don Benito
2-1 15-11 W
09/07 Jodie Anna Burrage
W35 Don Benito
2-0 8-5 W
08/07 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-5 W
05/07 Duru Soke
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/07 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulia Alessia Monteleone vs Melisa Ercan?

Our model gives 83% to Melisa Ercan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.