Tennis · M15 Monastir · 30/09, 10:30
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Lucca Liu
Team pages: Tuncay Duran · Lucca Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Tuncay Duran
Lucca Liu
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran
7-3 (W-L)
Lucca Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1533 · Lucca Liu 1519
| Tuncay Duran | Lucca Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 7 aces and 60.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Lucca Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.3 | 10.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 81.6% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Togan Tokac Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tim Loosen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/06 | Goncalo Quintela M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Lucca Liu?
Our model gives 60% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.