Tennis · WTA Valencia · 18/09, 13:00

Prediction: Clara Burel vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

Team pages: Clara Burel · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

Prediction summary

Winner

57% 43%

Clara Burel Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

Estimated games

21.4

Recent form · 10 last

Clara Burel 8-2 (W-L)

LWWWWWWWLW

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 6-4 (W-L)

LLWLWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Clara Burel 0–1 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales (1 last)

11 Sept1-2 10-13L

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1553 · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 1549

	Clara Burel	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Our model	51%	49%
Market	63%	38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Head-to-head: Clara Burel 0–1 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales (1).

Statistics

	Clara Burel	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Win %	70%	60%
Win % · Clay	75% (4)	83% (6)
Sets (G-P)	1.6-0.6	1.2-1.1
Games (G-P)	11.7-7.9	11.2-11
Aces	1.5	1.7
Double faults	2.5	3.4
1st serve %	61.7%	59.2%
Break %	64.1%	50.2%

Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

H2H · Clara Burel 0 – 1 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales (1)

Odds Bet365

11.50

22.50

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
00:29 +4’	1.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Burel 0–1 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
11/09/26 WTA Montreux	1-2	10-13	L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clara Burel

LWWLW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
15/09	Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay	2-0	13-6	W
11/09	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Montreux · Clay	1-2	10-13	L
09/09	Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Montreux · Clay	2-0	12-5	W
08/09	Katerina Tsygourova WTA Montreux · Clay	2-0	12-5	W
06/09	Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer	1-2	14-15	L
05/09	Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer	2-0	13-10	W
04/09	Emma Lene W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer	2-0	12-3	W
03/09	Justina Mikulskyte W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer	2-0	13-7	W
02/09	Sarah Van Emst W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer	2-0	12-2	W
26/08	Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard	0-2	6-13	L

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

WWLWW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
17/09	Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Valencia · Clay	2-1	15-13	W
15/09	Berfu Cengiz WTA Valencia · Clay	2-0	14-10	W
12/09	Noma Noha Akugue WTA Montreux · Clay	0-2	9-13	L
11/09	Clara Burel WTA Montreux · Clay	2-1	13-10	W
10/09	Martina Trevisan WTA Montreux · Clay	2-1	17-14	W
08/09	Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Montreux · Clay	2-0	12-3	W
26/08	Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard	0-2	8-13	L
25/08	Jodie Anna Burrage US Open Women · Hard	2-0	13-10	W
11/08	Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Hamburg	0-2	7-12	L
04/08	Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde	0-2	4-12	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales?

Our model gives 57% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.