Tennis · WTA Valencia · 18/09, 11:00
Prediction: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Team pages: Andrea Lazaro Garcia · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
6-4 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1538 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1568
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andrea Lazaro Garcia makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.2 | 12.8-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 59% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Mai Hontama US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Elina Avanesyan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Aurora Zantedeschi W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Chloe Paquet W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Neus Torner Sensano WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Amandine Monnot W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 52% to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.