Tennis · M25 Nevers · 18/09, 12:00
Prediction: Alexandre Reco vs Etienne Donnet
Team pages: Alexandre Reco · Etienne Donnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Reco
Etienne Donnet
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Reco
7-3 (W-L)
Etienne Donnet
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Reco 1551 · Etienne Donnet 1461
| Alexandre Reco | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandre Reco (rating 1551 vs 1461).
- Alexandre Reco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexandre Reco | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-7.4 | 10.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Reco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Damien Clerc M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Melvin Kumar M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Mae Malige M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Rahul Dhokia M25 Aldershot |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Etienne Donnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Hugo Car M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Sean Hodkin M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Dan Added M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 26/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/03 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Robert Strombachs M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Mathys Erhard M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Reco vs Etienne Donnet?
Our model gives 62% to Alexandre Reco, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.