Tennis · M25 Nevers · 18/09, 13:30
Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Aidan Mchugh
Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Aidan Mchugh
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Rossi
Aidan Mchugh
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi
8-2 (W-L)
Aidan Mchugh
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leonardo Rossi
1–0
Aidan Mchugh
(1 last)
- 12 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1568 · Aidan Mchugh 1540
| Leonardo Rossi | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Leonardo Rossi 1–0 Aidan Mchugh (1).
Statistics
| Leonardo Rossi | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.6 | 12.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Leonardo Rossi 1 – 0 Aidan Mchugh (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leonardo Rossi 1–0 Aidan Mchugh
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 M25 Pozzuoli | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Rossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Mathys Domenc M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Liam Branger M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Hady Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Aidan Mchugh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 16/09 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | David Eichenseher M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Matteo Mesaglio M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Gavin Goode M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/01 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 22/11 | Andreja Petrovic ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Aidan Mchugh?
Our model gives 52% to Leonardo Rossi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.