Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 17/09, 22:30
Prediction: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska
Team pages: Eva Lys · Nadia Podoroska
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Lys
Nadia Podoroska
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Lys
5-5 (W-L)
Nadia Podoroska
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eva Lys
1–0
Nadia Podoroska
(1 last)
- 16 Jul2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Lys 1496 · Nadia Podoroska 1509
| Eva Lys | Nadia Podoroska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Eva Lys 1–0 Nadia Podoroska (1).
- Note: Eva Lys makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Eva Lys | Nadia Podoroska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.8 | 11.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 64% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Eva Lys 1 – 0 Nadia Podoroska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eva Lys 1–0 Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/24 WTA Budapest | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Lys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Gabriela Ce WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Ena Koike WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Simona Waltert US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sara Cakarevic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Julia Stusek WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska?
Our model gives 58% to Eva Lys, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.