Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 17/09, 17:00
Prediction: Dominika Salkova vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Dominika Salkova · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominika Salkova
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dominika Salkova
3-7 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominika Salkova 1487 · Mary Stoiana 1545
| Dominika Salkova | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1487 vs 1545).
- Note: Dominika Salkova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Dominika Salkova | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.7 | 12.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 65% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominika Salkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Akasha Urhobo US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Arantxa Rus W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Lea Boskovic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Harmony Tan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominika Salkova vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 62% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.