Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 17/09, 17:00
Prediction: Elina Avanesyan vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Elina Avanesyan · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Avanesyan
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Avanesyan
6-4 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Avanesyan
0–1
Alina Charaeva
(1 last)
- 12 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Avanesyan 1545 · Alina Charaeva 1525
| Elina Avanesyan | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elina Avanesyan 0–1 Alina Charaeva (1).
- Note: Elina Avanesyan makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Elina Avanesyan | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.2 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 60% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Elina Avanesyan 0 – 1 Alina Charaeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Avanesyan 0–1 Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 WTA Antalya | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Julia Riera WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Emily Seibold WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Avanesyan vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 56% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.