Tennis · M25 Nevers · 17/09, 14:00
Prediction: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Aidan Mchugh
Team pages: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra · Aidan Mchugh
Prediction summary
Winner
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Aidan Mchugh
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
6-4 (W-L)
Aidan Mchugh
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 1499 · Aidan Mchugh 1535
| William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.6 | 12-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 43% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Sacha Grandvincent M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Niklas Waldner M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Louis Van Herck M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Simonsson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Filip Soderqvist M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Aidan Mchugh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | David Eichenseher M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Matteo Mesaglio M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Gavin Goode M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/01 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 22/11 | Andreja Petrovic ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/11 | Julian Alonso ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Aidan Mchugh?
Our model gives 70% to Aidan Mchugh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.