Tennis · M25 Nevers · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Mathys Domenc
Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Mathys Domenc
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Rossi
Mathys Domenc
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi
7-3 (W-L)
Mathys Domenc
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leonardo Rossi
1–0
Mathys Domenc
(1 last)
- 06 Mar2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1548 · Mathys Domenc 1523
| Leonardo Rossi | Mathys Domenc | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Leonardo Rossi 1–0 Mathys Domenc (1).
Statistics
| Leonardo Rossi | Mathys Domenc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.8 | 12.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Leonardo Rossi 1 – 0 Mathys Domenc (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leonardo Rossi 1–0 Mathys Domenc
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 M15 Poitiers | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Rossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Liam Branger M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Hady Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Mathys Domenc
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/08 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Simone Massellani M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Adrien Berrut M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Mathys Domenc?
Our model gives 60% to Leonardo Rossi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.