Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisca Jorge
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge
6-4 (W-L)
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisca Jorge
1–1
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
(2 last)
- 24 Aug2-0 12-6W
- 26 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1549 · Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1474
| Francisca Jorge | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisca Jorge (rating 1549 vs 1474).
Statistics
| Francisca Jorge | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 9-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 51.5% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Francisca Jorge 1 – 1 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisca Jorge 1–1 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09/24 ITF W75 Lisbon | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Xinyu Gao WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Evora |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Yufei Ren W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Katherine Sebov WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marie Weckerle Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva?
Our model gives 55% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.