Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 18/09, 14:30
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson
Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Gabriela Knutson
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriela Knutson
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Malaika Rapolu
1–0
Gabriela Knutson
(1 last)
- 12 Nov2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1569 · Gabriela Knutson 1587
| Malaika Rapolu | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Malaika Rapolu 1–0 Gabriela Knutson (1).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8 | 11.4-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Malaika Rapolu 1 – 0 Gabriela Knutson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malaika Rapolu 1–0 Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/24 ITF W50 Austin | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Caroline Werner WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Leiria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Madison Sieg W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Aoi Ito WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Dominika Salkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Varvara Lepchenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson?
Our model gives 53% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.