Tennis · M25 Nevers · 16/09, 11:30
Prediction: Mathys Domenc vs Kyle Overmyer
Team pages: Mathys Domenc · Kyle Overmyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Domenc
Kyle Overmyer
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Domenc
8-2 (W-L)
Kyle Overmyer
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Domenc 1534 · Kyle Overmyer 1417
| Mathys Domenc | Kyle Overmyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Domenc (rating 1534 vs 1417).
- Mathys Domenc is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mathys Domenc | Kyle Overmyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.5-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 7.8-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Domenc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/08 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Simone Massellani M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Adrien Berrut M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Marlon Vankan M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kyle Overmyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Robin Eldin M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Jannik Maute M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Nicholas Godsick M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Mattias Southcombe M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 11/06 | Marcel Latak M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Andre Souza M25 San Jose |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 01/02 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Domenc vs Kyle Overmyer?
Our model gives 77% to Mathys Domenc, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.