Tennis · WTA Sao Paulo · 16/09, 20:30
Prediction: Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora Kostovic
Team pages: Darja Semenistaja · Teodora Kostovic
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Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Semenistaja
Teodora Kostovic
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Semenistaja
4-6 (W-L)
Teodora Kostovic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Semenistaja 1479 · Teodora Kostovic 1561
| Darja Semenistaja | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teodora Kostovic (rating 1479 vs 1561).
- Teodora Kostovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darja Semenistaja | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.6 | 12-8.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Semenistaja
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Storm Hunter US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alexandra Shubladze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Hayu Kinoshita US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Julia Riera WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Teodora Kostovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Victoria Luiza Barros WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Martyna Kubka WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Vivian Wolff W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Anna Siskova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Julie Pastikova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Kali Supova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Arabella Koller W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora Kostovic?
Our model gives 58% to Teodora Kostovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.