Tennis · M15 Melilla · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Steffan Van Weldam vs Toprak Avcibasi
Team pages: Steffan Van Weldam · Toprak Avcibasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Steffan Van Weldam
Toprak Avcibasi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Steffan Van Weldam
6-4 (W-L)
Toprak Avcibasi
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Steffan Van Weldam 1538 · Toprak Avcibasi 1387
| Steffan Van Weldam | Toprak Avcibasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Steffan Van Weldam (rating 1538 vs 1387).
- Steffan Van Weldam is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Toprak Avcibasi makes many double faults (9.5/match).
Statistics
| Steffan Van Weldam | Toprak Avcibasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.1 | 6.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 9.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 50.5% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Steffan Van Weldam
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Pedro Montero Nicolau M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Wout Vermeer M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Sammy Guinau M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 17/08 | David Tixhon M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 16/08 | Matiej Reiter M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 18/04 | Louis Hull UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Toprak Avcibasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Michiel de Krom M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Aaron Paul Samson M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Maximilian Figl M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sven Corbinais M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Amaan Siddiqui M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Pablo Aunion M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Aleksander Chayka M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Steffan Van Weldam vs Toprak Avcibasi?
Our model gives 62% to Steffan Van Weldam, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.