Tennis · M15 Melilla · 17/09, 12:30
Prediction: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Nicolo Toffanin
Team pages: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez · Nicolo Toffanin
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Nicolo Toffanin
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolo Toffanin
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
0–1
Nicolo Toffanin
(1 last)
- 25 Jun0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1509 · Nicolo Toffanin 1450
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Nicolo Toffanin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez (rating 1509 vs 1450).
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 0–1 Nicolo Toffanin (1).
Statistics
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Nicolo Toffanin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-8.7 | 9.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 0 – 1 Nicolo Toffanin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 0–1 Nicolo Toffanin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/24 ITF M15 Tanger | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Eneko R Perez M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Andrea Paolini M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Yuto Oki M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Zdenek Derkas UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nicolo Toffanin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Fano |
1-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Sardo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Nicolo Toffanin?
Our model gives 72% to Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.