Tennis · W35 Hurghada · 16/09, 09:00

Prediction: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Yuliya Hatouka

Team pages: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner · Yuliya Hatouka

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner Yuliya Hatouka
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWLL
Yuliya Hatouka 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 1547 · Yuliya Hatouka 1478
Liel Marlies RothensteinerYuliya Hatouka
Our model60%40%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liel Marlies Rothensteiner (rating 1547 vs 1478).
  • Liel Marlies Rothensteiner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (8.3/match).

Statistics

Liel Marlies RothensteinerYuliya Hatouka
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.90.9-1.3
Games (G-P)10.9-9.29.6-10.4
Aces2.30.7
Double faults4.48.3
1st serve %70.3%63.7%
Break %54.1%47.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liel Marlies Rothensteiner

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Leonie Rabl
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 9-7 W
12/08 Nelli Ivanova
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
1-2 12-15 L
06/08 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Astana
2-0 14-11 W
04/08 Daria Kuznetsova
W15 Astana
2-1 8-10 W
03/08 Polina Sleptsova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
30/07 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
29/07 Haruna Arakawa
W15 Astana
2-1 16-15 W
28/07 Linara Bulesheva
W15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
27/07 Aisulu Zholbolat
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W

Yuliya Hatouka

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/08 Charo Esquiva Banuls
W15 Logrono
0-2 9-13 L
20/08 Valentina Vargas
W15 Logrono
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Lucia Llinares Domingo
W15 Logrono
2-0 13-9 W
11/08 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Vigo
1-2 17-18 L
02/08 Aleksandra Iankovskaia
W75 Ourense
1-2 10-13 L
22/06 Viola Turini
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/05 Eva Lopez
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-1 8-5 W
05/05 Adithya Karunaratne
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/04 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/04 Mara Guth
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Yuliya Hatouka?

Our model gives 64% to Yuliya Hatouka, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.