Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Ayla Aksu vs Elena Malygina
Team pages: Ayla Aksu · Elena Malygina
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayla Aksu
Elena Malygina
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ayla Aksu
3-7 (W-L)
Elena Malygina
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ayla Aksu
0–1
Elena Malygina
(1 last)
- 06 Oct1-2 7-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayla Aksu 1469 · Elena Malygina 1513
| Ayla Aksu | Elena Malygina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Malygina (rating 1469 vs 1513).
- Head-to-head: Ayla Aksu 0–1 Elena Malygina (1).
Statistics
| Ayla Aksu | Elena Malygina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.3 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 57.5% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Ayla Aksu 0 – 1 Elena Malygina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayla Aksu 0–1 Elena Malygina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/22 ITF W25 Sozopol | 1-2 | 7-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayla Aksu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 26/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Elena Malygina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Giulia Pereira De Aguiar WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Gaia Maduzzi W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Zuzanna Kolonus W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayla Aksu vs Elena Malygina?
Our model gives 51% to Ayla Aksu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.