Tennis · M25 Nevers · 15/09, 17:00

Prediction: Lenny Couturier vs Amaury Raynel

Team pages: Lenny Couturier · Amaury Raynel

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Lenny Couturier Amaury Raynel
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lenny Couturier 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLLL
Amaury Raynel 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lenny Couturier 1497 · Amaury Raynel 1448
Lenny CouturierAmaury Raynel
Our model57%43%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lenny Couturier (rating 1497 vs 1448).

Statistics

Lenny CouturierAmaury Raynel
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.7-1.4
Games (G-P)9.8-10.49.1-11.6
Aces2.71.1
Double faults1.72.8
1st serve %68.6%61.4%
Break %49.6%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lenny Couturier

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Evan Jarzaguet
M25 Nevers
2-1 12-10 W
08/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/08 Kenny de Schepper
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 7-13 L
27/08 Leo Raquillet
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 16-13 W
25/08 Zaccharie Cado
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Florent Bax
M25 Uriage
1-2 7-18 L
06/07 Rohan Mehra
M25 The Hague
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Daniel Dutra Da Silva
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Marcel Hornung
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
28/06 Melvin Vix
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Amaury Raynel

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Sam Bakker
M15 Haren
0-2 3-12 L
27/08 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Samy Iraqi
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Michael Agwi
M15 Trier
0-2 7-13 L
31/07 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 14-19 L
30/07 Antoni Fabre
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-8 W
28/07 Dorian Tremblay
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-8 W
14/07 Maxence Rivet
M25 Uriage
0-2 7-13 L
01/07 Alexandr Binda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
16/06 Sydney Zick
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lenny Couturier vs Amaury Raynel?

Our model gives 53% to Amaury Raynel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.