Tennis · WTA Valencia · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Charo Esquiva Banuls
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Charo Esquiva Banuls
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Charo Esquiva Banuls
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
9-1 (W-L)
Charo Esquiva Banuls
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1594 · Charo Esquiva Banuls 1534
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Charo Esquiva Banuls | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1594 vs 1534).
- Note: Charo Esquiva Banuls makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Charo Esquiva Banuls | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.2 | 10.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Neus Torner Sensano WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Amandine Monnot W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Milena Steinkamp W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Charo Esquiva Banuls
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Juliana Giaccio W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Diae El Jardi W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Kira Pavlova W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Josy Daems W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Charo Esquiva Banuls?
Our model gives 70% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.