Tennis · WTA Caldas Da Rainha · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Caroline Werner · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Caroline Werner
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner
4-6 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1483 · Malaika Rapolu 1546
| Caroline Werner | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1483 vs 1546).
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.9 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 50% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Elena Micic W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Veronika Podrez W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriela Paun W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Leiria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Madison Sieg W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mia Slama W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 66% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.