Tennis · WTA Valencia · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Clara Burel vs Aran Teixido Garcia
Team pages: Clara Burel · Aran Teixido Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Burel
Aran Teixido Garcia
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Burel
8-2 (W-L)
Aran Teixido Garcia
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1573 · Aran Teixido Garcia 1532
| Clara Burel | Aran Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Burel (rating 1573 vs 1532).
- Note: Aran Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Clara Burel | Aran Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-7.9 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 61.7% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Burel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Emma Lene W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Yexin Ma US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Aran Teixido Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Diletta Cherubini WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Matilde Mariani W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Amy Zhu W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Aran Teixido Garcia?
Our model gives 74% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.