Tennis · M25 Nevers · 16/09, 11:00

Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Liam Branger

Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Liam Branger

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Leonardo Rossi Liam Branger
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Liam Branger 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1546 · Liam Branger 1512
Leonardo RossiLiam Branger
Our model55%45%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Leonardo Rossi dominates on serve: 7 aces and 44.7% break avg.

Statistics

Leonardo RossiLiam Branger
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.4-1.1
Games (G-P)12.5-10.211.9-11.7
Aces75
Double faults32.7
1st serve %73.6%66.8%
Break %44.7%36%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leonardo Rossi

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Melios Efstathiou
M25 Pozzuoli
0-2 8-13 L
12/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-7 W
11/09 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 16-14 W
10/09 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Jacopo Bilardo
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/08 Radu Albot
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
23/08 Hady Habib
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/08 Radu Albot
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
16/08 Benjamin Gusic Wan
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 18-11 W

Liam Branger

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 9-16 L
02/09 Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Martin Simon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Marc Vives Martinez
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Timeo Trufelli
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 19-14 W
28/07 Arthur Nagel
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 13-16 L
07/07 Nicolas Jadoun
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
1-2 12-15 L
02/07 Sergio Callejon Hernando
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
01/07 Timofey Stepanov
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Liam Branger?

Our model gives 61% to Leonardo Rossi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.